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Red14
133935.2
19779.8
45501.7
Blue6
99973.4
99930.7
99914.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74420406080100120146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.23.2
39.836.6
Auto9.6
Teleop17.7
End7.9
red by 31.0
9991
#27
4.20.5
2.11.6
Auto1.9
Teleop1.3
End1.1
Second
1977
#10
9.83.2
9.56.4
Auto1.0
Teleop1.3
End7.5
red by 6.4
9997
#28
3.40.5
7.16.6
Auto2.2
Teleop0.8
End0.3
Third
4550
#24
1.73.2
12.08.8
Auto1.7
Teleop-2.0
End2.1
red by 1.1
9993
#23
0.70.5
1.51.0
Auto1.7
Teleop-2.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed