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Red43
441812.6
7737-1.5
337429.8
Blue73
998810.6
99947.5
203615.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532404060801004373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.81.0
31.630.6
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End12.0
red by 14.1
15.63.1
15.018.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End3.2
Second
4418
#12
12.61.0
14.513.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End4.2
red by 2.0
10.63.8
7.711.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.7
End3.7
Third
7737
#26
-1.51.0
0.2-0.8
Auto0.5
Teleop-1.5
End-0.4
blue by 9.0
9994
#18
7.53.8
3.67.4
Auto1.0
Teleop2.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned5%Hangar oddsEarned