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Red76
49449.6
17998.5
161952.0
Blue22
20835.0
99914.2
406817.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8019040601001201407622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.5
49.950.4
Auto14.5
Teleop25.5
End12.0
red by 35.0
4068
#11
17.00.7
16.415.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End4.1
Second
4944
#15
9.60.5
10.811.3
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.8
End7.3
red by 4.6
2083
#13
5.00.7
5.95.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.4
End2.3
Third
1799
#14
8.50.5
7.37.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End1.6
red by 4.4
9991
#27
4.20.9
5.64.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed