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Red40
99996.0
14108.6
364814.5
Blue81
133935.2
299622.9
429321.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2185040601001201401604081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3648
#17
14.51.1
12.713.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End4.4
blue by 20.7
35.20.6
30.931.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.7
End7.9
Second
1410
#20
8.61.1
6.87.9
Auto4.2
Teleop-1.4
End5.8
blue by 14.3
22.90.6
20.120.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.9
End6.5
Third
9999
#25
6.01.3
4.55.8
Auto4.8
Teleop1.2
End-0.1
blue by 15.9
21.80.6
20.921.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsEarned