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Red35
769413.0
346419.6
318216.3
Blue40
712710.9
19535.9
801321.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3956020801003540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#24
19.60.3
16.616.3
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End1.7
blue by 16.2
195
#3
35.90.7
16.515.9
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End9.8
Second
3182
#20
16.30.3
11.811.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End4.5
blue by 4.9
8013
#12
21.20.7
17.917.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End8.8
Third
7694
#19
13.00.3
10.710.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.8
End4.3
red by 2.1
7127
#34
10.90.7
15.915.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsEarned