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Red50
55822.2
769413.0
808525.3
Blue17
21708.2
457213.5
5715.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452404060805017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.7
15.115.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.8
End5.6
red by 11.8
4572
#22
13.50.5
9.48.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.5
Second
558
#8
22.20.7
14.214.9
Auto7.4
Teleop6.4
End8.4
red by 14.0
2170
#35
8.20.5
5.55.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End2.7
Third
7694
#19
13.00.7
10.010.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.8
End4.3
red by 7.8
571
#39
5.20.6
10.19.6
Auto3.6
Teleop1.7
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed