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Red65
19535.9
99913.3
58568.4
Blue52
11249.9
888913.9
801321.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333602060801006552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
35.91.7
12.414.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End9.8
red by 14.7
8013
#12
21.21.0
16.317.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End8.8
Second
999
#26
13.31.7
8.710.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End5.3
blue by 0.6
8889
#25
13.91.0
11.112.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Third
5856
#30
8.41.7
9.911.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End2.9
blue by 1.5
1124
#31
9.91.0
5.66.6
Auto5.1
Teleop1.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed