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Red56
23632.3
318216.3
83915.6
Blue55
816713.7
346419.6
46283.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613102040801001205655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#11
32.30.1
27.227.1
Auto9.7
Teleop16.5
End6.1
red by 12.6
3464
#24
19.61.2
15.817.0
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Second
3182
#20
16.30.1
11.711.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End4.5
red by 2.6
8167
#21
13.71.2
10.912.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End4.0
Third
839
#13
15.60.1
14.514.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End3.5
red by 12.5
4628
#37
3.11.2
6.37.5
Auto1.0
Teleop0.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed