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Red39
17519.6
107115.5
5715.2
Blue90
23047.4
514214.8
769413.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497802040601001201403990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#27
19.60.7
19.719.0
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End4.6
blue by 27.8
230
#1
47.41.1
47.048.1
Auto13.6
Teleop21.5
End12.3
Second
1071
#14
15.50.7
18.317.6
Auto6.2
Teleop4.8
End4.5
red by 0.7
5142
#18
14.81.1
11.712.8
Auto5.4
Teleop5.4
End4.1
Third
571
#39
5.20.7
11.510.8
Auto3.6
Teleop1.7
End-0.1
blue by 7.8
7694
#19
13.01.1
10.611.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed70%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned