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Red84
816713.7
318216.3
19535.9
Blue29
36349.8
457213.5
769413.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54362060801008429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
35.91.9
24.025.8
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End9.8
red by 22.4
4572
#22
13.50.7
11.811.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.5
Second
3182
#20
16.31.9
12.114.0
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End4.5
red by 3.2
7694
#19
13.00.7
14.113.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.8
End4.3
Third
8167
#21
13.71.9
12.114.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End4.0
red by 3.9
3634
#28
9.81.2
10.18.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed