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Red48
5715.2
23632.3
206411.5
Blue52
55822.2
11249.9
346419.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535248495051525354554852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#11
32.30.4
28.127.8
Auto9.7
Teleop16.5
End6.1
red by 10.0
558
#8
22.20.2
20.020.2
Auto7.4
Teleop6.4
End8.4
Second
2064
#32
11.50.4
12.712.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End4.2
blue by 8.1
3464
#24
19.60.2
19.419.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Third
571
#39
5.20.4
8.48.1
Auto3.6
Teleop1.7
End-0.1
blue by 4.7
1124
#31
9.90.2
9.910.0
Auto5.1
Teleop1.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsEarned