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Red70
634615.7
17519.6
801321.2
Blue19
78697.6
74624.8
169921.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6036020801007019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8013
#12
21.20.2
20.019.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End8.8
blue by 0.7
1699
#16
21.91.2
20.819.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.5
End4.2
Second
175
#27
19.60.2
20.820.6
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End4.6
red by 12.0
7869
#36
7.61.2
9.48.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.0
End2.4
Third
6346
#15
15.70.2
12.512.3
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End2.9
red by 11.0
7462
#38
4.81.2
6.95.7
Auto3.5
Teleop0.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed