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Red40
55822.2
49877.4
17519.6
Blue55
83915.6
346419.6
776013.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504930406070804055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#8
22.20.7
20.519.8
Auto7.4
Teleop6.4
End8.4
red by 2.6
3464
#24
19.60.3
19.119.4
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Second
175
#27
19.60.7
20.619.9
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End4.6
red by 4.0
839
#13
15.60.3
15.215.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End3.5
Third
4987
#40
7.40.7
5.34.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End2.5
blue by 6.1
7760
#17
13.50.3
12.212.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsMissed