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Red54
5715.2
46283.1
19535.9
Blue29
99913.3
514214.8
78697.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44402030506070805429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
35.90.9
27.728.6
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End9.8
red by 21.1
5142
#18
14.80.6
13.913.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.4
End4.1
Second
571
#39
5.20.9
7.68.5
Auto3.6
Teleop1.7
End-0.1
blue by 8.1
999
#26
13.30.6
14.013.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End5.3
Third
4628
#37
3.10.9
5.66.5
Auto1.0
Teleop0.6
End1.5
blue by 4.5
7869
#36
7.60.6
10.19.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed