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Red108
801321.2
23047.4
457213.5
Blue70
23632.3
634615.7
37199.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions924620608010012014010870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
47.41.5
49.050.6
Auto13.6
Teleop21.5
End12.3
red by 15.2
236
#11
32.31.4
29.330.7
Auto9.7
Teleop16.5
End6.1
Second
8013
#12
21.21.5
19.020.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End8.8
red by 5.5
6346
#15
15.71.4
11.813.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End2.9
Third
4572
#22
13.51.5
12.814.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.5
red by 4.0
3719
#33
9.51.4
7.79.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
57%Cargo oddsEarned21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned5%Hangar oddsMissed