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Red66
514214.8
55822.2
634615.7
Blue80
808525.3
58568.4
23632.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47660204060801001206680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#8
22.21.3
19.821.1
Auto7.4
Teleop6.4
End8.4
blue by 10.0
236
#11
32.31.1
30.731.8
Auto9.7
Teleop16.5
End6.1
Second
6346
#15
15.71.3
13.214.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End2.9
blue by 9.5
25.31.1
21.422.5
Auto7.8
Teleop11.8
End5.6
Third
5142
#18
14.81.3
13.314.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.4
End4.1
red by 6.4
5856
#30
8.41.1
7.48.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsEarned