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Red19
776013.5
457213.5
712710.9
Blue35
74624.8
107115.5
206726.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4259020801001935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7760
#17
13.51.5
12.511.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End7.5
blue by 13.2
2067
#10
26.71.5
29.828.3
Auto10.2
Teleop8.4
End8.2
Second
4572
#22
13.51.5
14.312.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.5
blue by 2.0
1071
#14
15.51.5
17.215.8
Auto6.2
Teleop4.8
End4.5
Third
7127
#34
10.91.5
14.613.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End3.4
red by 6.1
7462
#38
4.81.5
6.14.6
Auto3.5
Teleop0.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsMissed