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Red30
1819.0
35669.4
21705.5
Blue11
19916.7
11245.6
206413.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26340204060801003011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3566
#13
9.40.3
10.410.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End1.1
blue by 3.7
13.12.2
13.110.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End4.7
Second
181
#31
9.00.5
8.69.1
Auto3.7
Teleop2.5
End2.9
red by 2.3
1991
#34
6.72.2
7.45.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.7
End1.9
Third
2170
#40
5.50.5
6.67.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End1.7
blue by 0.1
1124
#24
5.62.2
10.17.9
Auto3.9
Teleop0.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed