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Red41
55814.2
51428.6
17727.5
Blue52
23027.2
888911.1
37195.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5539020801004152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#5
27.51.4
25.123.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.0
End8.5
red by 0.3
230
#2
27.21.0
24.125.1
Auto8.7
Teleop8.7
End9.8
Second
558
#17
14.21.4
12.511.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End6.6
red by 3.1
8889
#28
11.11.0
11.412.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Third
5142
#23
8.61.4
12.110.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End3.9
red by 3.4
3719
#21
5.21.0
3.54.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsMissed