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Red75
633310.0
17645.1
23618.8
Blue53
365410.3
1789.3
17727.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67432060801001207553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#1
45.11.6
37.639.2
Auto12.4
Teleop21.5
End11.2
red by 17.6
177
#5
27.51.0
23.824.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.0
End8.5
Second
236
#10
18.81.6
15.116.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End4.4
red by 8.5
3654
#16
10.31.0
9.410.4
Auto3.9
Teleop0.7
End5.7
Third
6333
#22
10.01.6
7.08.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End1.6
red by 0.7
178
#35
9.31.0
10.511.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed