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Red36
51428.6
206713.8
888911.1
Blue54
35669.4
769410.0
346113.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39340102030506070803654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#11
13.80.4
14.213.8
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End4.9
red by 0.8
3461
#32
13.11.4
11.012.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End4.5
Second
8889
#28
11.10.4
12.311.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End1.5
red by 1.0
7694
#20
10.01.4
10.812.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End2.0
Third
5142
#23
8.60.4
9.49.0
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End3.9
blue by 0.7
3566
#13
9.40.9
10.711.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed