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Red29
21705.5
633310.0
22816.6
Blue63
102712.9
55814.2
23618.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29440204060802963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#4
16.60.0
14.914.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End8.2
blue by 2.2
236
#10
18.81.9
16.718.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End4.4
Second
6333
#22
10.00.0
8.68.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End1.6
blue by 4.2
558
#17
14.21.9
11.213.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End6.6
Third
2170
#40
5.50.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End1.7
blue by 7.4
12.92.0
11.613.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsEarned