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Red32
206713.8
346113.1
11245.6
Blue44
27854.1
17727.5
37195.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36391020305060703244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#11
13.80.2
13.813.6
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End4.9
blue by 13.7
177
#5
27.50.0
24.724.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.0
End8.5
Second
3461
#32
13.10.2
12.412.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End4.5
red by 7.9
3719
#21
5.20.0
5.45.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End1.4
Third
1124
#24
5.60.2
7.57.4
Auto3.9
Teleop0.1
End1.6
red by 1.5
2785
#39
4.10.0
6.05.9
Auto2.0
Teleop0.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsEarned7%Hangar oddsMissed