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Red16
21705.5
74626.2
365410.3
Blue49
17310.7
55814.2
22816.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2142060801649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#16
10.30.6
11.010.4
Auto3.9
Teleop0.7
End5.7
blue by 6.3
228
#4
16.61.0
14.916.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End8.2
Second
7462
#38
6.20.6
7.97.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.2
End2.2
blue by 8.0
558
#17
14.21.0
13.114.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End6.6
Third
2170
#40
5.50.6
3.93.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End1.7
blue by 5.2
173
#18
10.71.0
9.210.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned