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Red50
318212.0
808515.1
19916.7
Blue22
51428.6
102712.9
78696.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33290102040506070805022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#12
15.11.8
15.216.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End2.2
red by 2.3
12.90.5
12.712.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.3
End6.7
Second
3182
#15
12.01.8
11.112.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End4.9
red by 3.4
5142
#23
8.60.5
8.37.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End3.9
Third
1991
#34
6.71.8
3.85.6
Auto3.1
Teleop1.7
End1.9
red by 0.5
7869
#25
6.30.5
7.16.6
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsMissed