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Red47
808515.1
23027.2
365410.3
Blue62
22816.6
15519.7
346113.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56522030407080901004762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#2
27.20.1
27.127.0
Auto8.7
Teleop8.7
End9.8
red by 7.5
155
#3
19.70.1
19.819.7
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End4.8
Second
8085
#12
15.10.1
15.114.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End2.2
blue by 1.5
228
#4
16.60.1
16.716.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End8.2
Third
3654
#16
10.30.1
10.310.1
Auto3.9
Teleop0.7
End5.7
blue by 2.7
3461
#32
13.10.1
13.113.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End4.5