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Red68
808515.1
23027.2
365410.3
Blue49
22816.6
15519.7
346113.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5652203040607080901006849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#2
27.20.3
27.027.2
Auto8.7
Teleop8.7
End9.8
red by 7.5
155
#3
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End4.8
Second
8085
#12
15.10.3
14.915.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End2.2
blue by 1.5
228
#4
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End8.2
Third
3654
#16
10.30.3
10.110.4
Auto3.9
Teleop0.7
End5.7
blue by 2.7
3461
#32
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End4.5