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Red22
6127.1
37933.8
29149.0
Blue45
83623.4
424213.6
6114.0
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26440204060802245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2914
#11
9.00.5
11.711.1
Auto5.5
Teleop2.6
End0.9
blue by 14.4
836
#3
23.40.6
19.920.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End4.5
Second
612
#16
7.10.5
9.48.9
Auto1.0
Teleop1.7
End4.4
blue by 6.5
13.60.6
10.511.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End6.7
Third
3793
#15
3.80.5
5.75.2
Auto0.9
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 0.2
611
#9
4.00.6
8.89.4
Auto0.7
Teleop2.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed