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Red47
409920.3
58307.7
29888.6
Blue41
18959.0
28499.1
88820.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304010205060704741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.9
17.419.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End5.1
blue by 0.1
888
#1
20.40.5
17.317.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End8.7
Second
8.61.9
5.67.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End4.8
blue by 0.5
2849
#12
9.10.5
10.310.9
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End1.6
Third
5830
#10
7.71.9
6.88.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 1.3
1895
#14
9.00.5
8.69.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed