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Red29
424213.6
58307.7
86221.0
Blue43
6127.1
409920.3
29004.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2729102040502943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.60.5
10.19.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End6.7
blue by 6.7
20.31.8
11.613.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End5.1
Second
5830
#10
7.70.5
10.29.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 0.6
612
#16
7.11.8
8.310.1
Auto1.0
Teleop1.7
End4.4
Third
8622
#18
1.00.5
5.24.7
Auto0.9
Teleop0.4
End-0.3
blue by 3.6
2900
#13
4.71.8
7.28.9
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed