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Red8
37933.8
6114.0
83263.9
Blue38
28499.1
45053.0
83623.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24380102030506070838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#9
4.02.3
9.26.9
Auto0.7
Teleop2.9
End0.4
blue by 19.4
836
#3
23.40.5
13.313.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End4.5
Second
3.92.3
3.81.6
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.2
End1.5
blue by 5.2
2849
#12
9.10.5
12.012.5
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End1.6
Third
3793
#15
3.82.3
11.59.3
Auto0.9
Teleop2.5
End0.5
red by 0.8
4505
#17
3.00.5
8.38.8
Auto1.3
Teleop1.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed