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Red49
111122.1
219921.7
21866.2
Blue47
159920.1
188523.0
11239.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52582040801004947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.1
22.122.0
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End3.1
blue by 0.9
23.00.2
23.423.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End8.9
Second
21.70.1
21.721.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End10.5
red by 1.6
20.10.2
20.520.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End9.3
Third
2186
#18
6.20.1
6.26.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.1
End2.6
blue by 3.5
1123
#12
9.70.2
10.19.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End3.1