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Red60
159920.1
188523.0
11239.7
Blue38
172713.8
62312.7
44568.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613402040801006038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.2
23.223.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End8.9
red by 9.1
13.80.1
14.013.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Second
20.10.2
20.420.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End9.3
red by 7.3
623
#4
12.70.1
12.912.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End6.8
Third
1123
#12
9.70.2
9.910.1
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End3.1
red by 1.3
4456
#10
8.40.1
8.58.4
Auto1.1
Teleop1.4
End5.9