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Red38
13895.2
29983.2
188523.0
Blue22
44568.4
253411.3
21866.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27330204060803822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.01.3
9.110.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End8.9
red by 11.6
11.31.0
12.411.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End3.8
Second
1389
#14
5.21.3
9.410.6
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.7
End4.4
blue by 3.2
4456
#10
8.41.0
11.810.8
Auto1.1
Teleop1.4
End5.9
Third
2998
#19
3.21.3
8.09.3
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End-0.4
blue by 3.0
2186
#18
6.21.0
6.45.5
Auto1.5
Teleop2.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsMissed