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Red46
219921.7
111122.1
78864.8
Blue21
65045.9
55498.8
159920.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322501020405060704621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.9
8.910.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End3.1
red by 2.0
20.10.8
13.612.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End9.3
Second
21.71.9
15.317.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End10.5
red by 12.9
8.80.8
4.43.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.4
End4.2
Third
7886
#17
4.81.9
4.86.7
Auto0.9
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 1.1
5.90.8
6.25.4
Auto1.1
Teleop2.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed