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Red49
62312.7
11239.7
188523.0
Blue28
82308.9
172713.8
13895.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333701020506070804928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.01.5
10.411.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End8.9
red by 9.1
13.81.5
13.311.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Second
623
#4
12.71.5
12.213.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End6.8
red by 3.8
8230
#11
8.91.5
9.98.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Third
1123
#12
9.71.5
9.010.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End3.1
red by 4.4
1389
#14
5.21.5
10.69.1
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed