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Red9
29983.2
253411.3
11239.7
Blue28
62312.7
85905.6
44568.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302901020405060928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.31.7
13.011.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End3.8
blue by 1.4
623
#4
12.70.1
12.412.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End6.8
Second
1123
#12
9.71.7
9.98.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End3.1
red by 1.3
4456
#10
8.40.1
9.19.2
Auto1.1
Teleop1.4
End5.9
Third
2998
#19
3.21.7
4.83.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End-0.4
blue by 2.4
8590
#15
5.60.1
5.55.6
Auto1.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned