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Red22
78864.8
21866.2
172713.8
Blue66
159920.1
82308.9
188523.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225404060802266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#7Sur
13.80.2
13.913.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.9
End0.9
blue by 9.1
1885
#2Sur
23.01.6
21.022.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End8.9
Second
2186
#18
6.20.3
5.95.7
Auto1.5
Teleop2.1
End2.6
blue by 13.9
20.11.7
17.919.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End9.3
Third
7886
#17
4.80.3
5.14.8
Auto0.9
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 4.0
8230
#11
8.91.7
7.59.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned