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Red36
141815.5
68612.3
558710.3
Blue16
82176.4
61415.5
52434.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393001020506070803616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.0
13.613.6
Auto5.9
Teleop3.2
End6.3
Level
614
#7
15.51.5
13.512.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End5.9
Second
686
#11
12.30.0
10.210.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.3
red by 5.9
8217
#13
6.41.5
6.85.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.2
End2.1
Third
5587
#12
10.30.0
11.811.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End2.1
red by 5.9
5243
#18
4.41.5
9.17.6
Auto0.4
Teleop1.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed