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Red20
62133.6
291210.9
173116.7
Blue36
77708.8
162918.4
447215.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324302060802036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.71.3
11.910.6
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End4.0
blue by 1.7
18.40.4
13.212.8
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End9.8
Second
10.90.9
11.110.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End2.0
blue by 4.1
15.00.4
15.915.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End5.0
Third
6213
#16
3.61.3
8.87.5
Auto1.3
Teleop1.1
End1.3
blue by 5.1
7770
#10
8.80.4
10.19.7
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned