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Red34
253710.3
424214.2
63264.9
Blue15
511512.9
46388.7
33733.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3731010204050603415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.20.0
13.613.6
Auto5.0
Teleop2.3
End6.9
red by 1.3
12.91.6
9.88.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End3.5
Second
10.30.0
10.910.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End2.3
red by 1.5
4638
#14
8.71.6
10.69.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Third
6326
#15
4.90.0
9.39.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
red by 1.0
3373
#17
3.91.6
9.27.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed