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Red49
173116.7
68612.3
82176.4
Blue23
61415.5
162918.4
33733.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294001020506070804923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.71.8
13.715.5
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End4.0
blue by 1.7
18.41.5
16.014.6
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End9.8
Second
686
#11
12.31.8
10.111.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.3
blue by 3.2
614
#7
15.51.5
12.911.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End5.9
Third
8217
#13
6.41.8
5.16.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.2
End2.1
red by 2.5
3373
#17
3.91.5
7.15.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed