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Red31
77708.8
62133.6
141815.5
Blue16
63264.9
253710.3
558710.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3930010205060703116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.9
15.915.0
Auto5.9
Teleop3.2
End6.3
red by 5.2
5587
#12
10.31.4
11.09.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Second
7770
#10
8.80.9
13.012.2
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End4.3
blue by 1.5
10.31.4
12.210.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End2.3
Third
6213
#16
3.60.9
6.15.2
Auto1.3
Teleop1.1
End1.3
blue by 1.3
6326
#15
4.91.4
5.84.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed