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Red60
44915.8
111122.4
1168.6
Blue33
242111.6
6128.8
374811.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52310204060801006033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.1
22.322.4
Auto9.5
Teleop11.2
End1.8
red by 10.8
2421
#12
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End7.4
Second
449
#3
15.80.2
15.715.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End4.1
red by 4.3
3748
#10
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End3.4
Third
116
#16
8.60.1
8.48.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End3.4
blue by 0.2
612
#4
8.80.0
8.78.8
Auto1.3
Teleop1.2
End6.3