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Red67
44915.8
111122.4
1168.6
Blue50
242111.6
6128.8
374811.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50310204060801006750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.5
21.822.3
Auto9.5
Teleop11.2
End1.8
red by 10.8
2421
#12
11.60.1
11.511.6
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End7.4
Second
449
#3
15.80.6
15.015.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End4.1
red by 4.3
3748
#10
11.50.1
11.411.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End3.4
Third
116
#16
8.60.6
7.98.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End3.4
blue by 0.2
612
#4
8.80.1
8.78.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.2
End6.3