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Red35
86225.6
206811.6
85925.7
Blue39
242111.6
6128.8
374811.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21360103040506070803539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.60.4
11.311.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End4.2
Level
2421
#12
11.60.0
11.611.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End7.4
Second
8592
#14
5.70.4
5.35.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End0.1
blue by 5.8
3748
#10
11.50.0
11.511.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End3.4
Third
5.60.3
5.35.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.1
End0.4
blue by 3.1
612
#4
8.80.0
8.78.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.2
End6.3