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Red32
138910.7
558713.6
81975.5
Blue43
33598.2
447222.5
15229.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20340103040506070803243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#15
13.60.8
10.611.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End3.2
blue by 8.9
22.50.9
18.219.1
Auto5.5
Teleop10.0
End7.0
Second
10.70.8
7.98.7
Auto3.7
Teleop0.6
End6.5
red by 1.5
1522
#11
9.30.9
6.27.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End3.5
Third
8197
#16
5.50.8
1.92.6
Auto2.1
Teleop2.6
End0.9
blue by 2.7
3359
#12
8.20.9
5.86.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed