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Red64
68617.7
173123.2
44643.7
Blue27
78861.7
37937.6
88821.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4630204060806427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.0
16.917.9
Auto7.9
Teleop9.3
End5.9
red by 2.0
888
#6
21.20.5
19.619.1
Auto5.7
Teleop6.4
End9.1
Second
686
#3
17.71.0
16.217.2
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End5.5
red by 10.1
3793
#10
7.60.5
5.44.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End3.0
Third
4464
#17
3.71.7
7.99.6
Auto0.8
Teleop2.2
End0.7
red by 2.0
7886
#18
1.70.5
5.55.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned42%Hangar oddsMissed