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Red29
219923.2
82177.1
58416.4
Blue43
191516.9
141814.6
554911.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3645102030405060702943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.4
22.922.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End10.8
red by 6.3
16.90.2
16.116.3
Auto1.5
Teleop8.5
End7.0
Second
8217
#15
7.10.4
6.35.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End2.2
blue by 7.5
1418
#12
14.60.2
15.715.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End4.2
Third
5841
#18
6.40.4
5.55.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.2
End1.7
blue by 4.8
5549
#11
11.20.1
9.09.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed63%Hangar oddsMissed