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Red22
29005.2
58306.2
237715.3
Blue36
188525.8
650411.8
374814.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25470102030406070802236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#13
15.30.7
12.611.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End2.2
blue by 10.5
25.80.4
23.222.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End9.7
Second
5830
#19
6.20.6
7.36.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End0.9
blue by 7.9
14.10.4
12.812.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End2.9
Third
2900
#17
5.20.6
6.86.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.7
End0.1
blue by 6.6
11.80.4
5.85.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned